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This historical record is an overview of the jumps (stock and options) we have published studies on. 2014 was a beta test year and we went live with the program March 2015. The history shown in the spreadsheet represents the actual move as a best case scenario. The numbers represent what the stock price did - (Jump Zone percentage over a 24 hour period) following the event, how we called it, as well as a virtual P&L in a trading account for the 5/5 strategy. This data is for informational purposes and does not reflect the outcome of actual trade results using real money. Your results will vary. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS. (Please read the full disclaimer below)
Past jump data published in chronological order
YTD Jump Zone YTD Win-Loss Ratio YTD Strategy
1071.25% 66.4% 383.43%
DISCLAIMER YOU SHOULD READ: Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will, or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand loss or adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points (both psychological and financial) which can adversely affect actual trading results.
There are numerous factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results. Trading volatile events can be one of the riskiest forms of investments available in the financial markets and suitable for only sophisticated individuals and institutions. The possibility exists that you could sustain a substantial loss of funds and possibly all of you account, therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Nothing in this presentation is a recommendation to buy or sell stocks, futures or currencies and StockJumpers or any of it's affiliates are not liable for any loss or damage, including without limitation, any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of StockJumpers reports or reliance on such information. Before deciding to participate in the markets, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite.
There is a significant learning curve to trading successfully. Most importantly, do not invest money you cannot afford to lose. The content provided is put forward in good faith and believed to be accurate, however, there are no explicit or implicit warranties of accuracy or timeliness made by StockJumpers or its affiliates. By using StockJumpers.com websites, the reader (that's you!) agrees not to hold StockJumpers, or any of its affiliates, liable for decisions that are based on information contained or found anywhere on this website. The reader agrees not to hold StockJumpers, or any of its affiliates, liable for products or services that are bought based on the recommendations found on this website, or for any partnerships or other dealings that may originate on the forum, private messaging, or any other source. This is by no means a recommendation to use these services, and visitors agree not to hold Stockjumpers or any of its affiliates, liable for losses that may occur due to the use of such services. Trading is a risky business and you should therefore never make a decision based solely on the information found on this or any website. Again, we state clearly, you should not invest money that you can not afford to lose and will not alter your lifestyle.
PERFORMANCE CRITERIA: The Direction Call: Is the overall trajectory that StockJumpers forecast as the market reaction to the catalyst event. The data is published in the form of a Jump Report and is updated at market close. We post our final trajectory analysis and the possible depth of the move in the trade room (accessible to PRO members) just before market close, and then track the move post release. Occasionally we will report a no trade or even reverse our original position based on new data. A no-trade is reflected as a "NULL" in the performance results. Jump Zone: is a way to measure the total potential move over a 24 hour period peak to valley, taking the high and the low and calculating the delta, as a "what if" measurement should you experience a maximum loss or gain for the event. "Jump Zone" is used as a measure of performance, but its NOT what a trader will necessarily achieve as a profit or loss from trading these events. Individual performance will vary dependent on many factors including the skill of a Trader. and their exit timing. This summary is merely a way of measuring overall movement of the target performance. 5/5 Strategy: is a "what if" virtual trade based on a percentage of profit or loss as 5% TP and 5% SL, and presumes the market execution for the trade is on an equal risk v. reward basis, and executes at the expected stop or profit. This is a pure hypothetical strategy as stops may not always be executed on your broker platform. The numbers represent a perfect execution which will certainly vary. Accuracy: Though we strive for accuracy in the performance data, there are many variables and it may not always reflect 100% accuracy. We are human and make mistakes. If you see an error in the data please point it out and we will be happy to correct it for the record. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS.
NOTES: Trading this strategy is not easy. these are volatile events and orders do not always get filled at the price intended., especially in after-market hours. Depending on your broker the price can move past your stops, and with low volume may not get get filled at all until the next day. This is part of the risks involved in trading. About 20% of the trades have some nuance or change to them that cannot be shown in detail on the spreadsheet, other than our note of the change. Pro members are made aware of published updates in the trajectory data based on their access level, which may come from a last-minute tweet or update in the trade room. The target data could reveal a last minute change to our trajectory report, or update made in the trade room a few minutes before a news release or some other note to the event since the report was initially published. When you see a notation on the performance sheet it means we altered the schedule based on new intelligence or circumstances beyond the Jump Report data. Not all traders may receive this, but its what we are following internally. This is the notational key we use: M= multiple trades initiated. R= reversal of trade direction due to last minute intelligence data - announced in trade room and/or tweeted 30 minutes prior to trade action. S = a "snap trade" that we worked and traded last minute only posted in the trade room. N= null. a no trade action due to mixed data or last minute updates that increase risk. U=updated trajectory analysis tweeted or posted in trade room.
OUR TRADING RULES: When the target hits 5% on the jump (up or down) that constitutes an outcome on the trading direction (unless otherwise noted in the Report or in the trade room. - (e.g. we may have announced a whipsaw, or multi-directional trajectory which does happen on some of the trade outcomes, a no-trade, or even a reversal). Once the 5% (with-in a 10% variance) is reached - the peak or valley following the 5% move is then calculated as the top or the bottom for position close purposes and the last candle before market close as the official open position. This is what we call the "jump zone". If the target stock price does not move 5% either way and is more of a sideways trade, and it reported after market close, we evaluate the price action the following trading session in the morning and will narrow and close the position within the first hour after market open, based on best case performance. If the direction favors our data and is in profit (even if less than the 5%) we consider the trade a win. If it is closed at a loss no matter how small we will count it as a loser trade. For professional traders the decision to stay in a trade varies. It may be prudent to stay in for hours or even days longer, or cut your losses sooner. then how StockJumpers may trade it This is always a personal decision. Our rule is for tracking performance and having a standard mechanical trading rule that is hard and fast for accounting purposes. All trade results are based on our opinions and do not constitute trading advice. We may or may not trade any particular stock pick we express an opinion about and may alter our opinion's based on actual outcomes or trade it differently than the views we express. All decisions to trade any of these stock picks, you make as self-directed trader based on your own research and experience regardless of StockJumpers opinion's or how we may choose to trade.
COMMENTARY: Winning percentage is a very misunderstood statistic. Newbies tend to think it's more important than it is and misinterpret what it does mean. How each event is traded is the most important aspect to your individual results which cannot be measured. A conservative trader that properly cuts losers might have several small losers to every successful trade, but can still be profitable if the successful trades gain more than the combined losers. Alternatively a reckless "cowboy trader" might have 90% winning trades and be still be catastrophically unprofitable if the 10% of losers lose big. We publish the above performance as a way of keeping score only. It doesn't indicate how much profit or loss as a trader you will personally experience. The most important thing you can do to become successful at this (or any trading strategy) is to get the necessary training, and practice over and over until trading each possible scenario becomes second nature. Most novice traders think this is easy - but its not. You are always fighting your personal psychology and each loss is new educational experience. If you lose money on 2 trades in a row you want to quit even though the 3rd trade is a win. If you an uncomfortable losing money on any trade - you should not do this. StockJumpers is not interested in serving members unwilling to learn or who have no appreciation for risk/reward. This strategy is a high risk/high reward system and not for everyone. Read the disclaimer below and discover if its right for you before you proceed.
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StockJumpers is a financial intelligence & research firm utilizing a proprietary trajectory analysis technology that accurately predicts the outcome of catalyst trading events. It offers its intelligence data in the form of "jump reports" to its members who leverage the data to trade earnings reporting stocks and other market moving events
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